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Gold with No Drama

{quote} Don't scam people by sending these fraud links and pdf's
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A daily close above 4880,signify bullish to $5138-$5340
Delayed for $4300-$3900
$5072-95 to look for double top

Have a nice day
Positive pips to All
{quote} Just in case 5090 break and unfinushed seek the high if friday continue... ( as Plan A). {image} Source fxstreet end Friday I will flip if sigh of bear appear....n will wait Open first. No personal...just my plan
Wow nice,78.6% retracement sits there-$5340 ,also the fair value gap
Matched
Positive pips to All
just thoughts i think 25 ish or 33 ish area will be nice enough to short on monday if we can get it
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gold weekend reach 5k. Another open gap to the high, but it could be a go-gap, price could continue go upward as it is a strong move to the high since the last fryday
Still expecting 514x and 5k3
Will is the most powerful weapon in the world.
I am going to repeat 1 more time.
You can forecasting all scenarios you guys want, but we are in a Monthly range between 5105 and 4562, unless a daily close above or below Monthly will not expand.
The manipulation seen below should hit 5105, not that he really need because already taped at the zone itself 5105/45.
Is just look for these zone 5105/45 and 4562/622 as zones your chart, not h4, not daily break it and only one wicked ( manipulation ).
We have bearish pressure, sure... But we also have trend intact. Who will win? Where are the probabilities? Is the question that should be answer.
If i ignore monthly, and look to daily, sure i see a sell around 5240 area as long daily in particulary don't close above 5105.
Randomly or not 75% movement was made align with 5240 zone to near 100%, i will keep in alert and not blinded, because we can stay all month in a range market with ups and downs.
Monthly open didn't break prior close, so trading open and closes means no trade long term yet, weekly did it and his target should had bee much higher, but keep intact the pattern holding at 50% at least to the weekly high again.
Monday is not to be traded blinded, what monday breaks, narrow or not have more meaning to the rest of the week than any forecast scenarios.
Safe trades.
I am going to repeat 1 more time. You can forecasting all scenarios you guys want, but we are in a Monthly range between 5105 and 4562, unless a daily close above or below Monthly will not expand. The manipulation seen below should hit 5105, not that he really need because already taped at the zone itself 5105/45. Is just look for these zone 5105/45 and 4562/622 as zones your chart, not h4, not daily break it and only one wicked ( manipulation ). We have bearish pressure, sure... But we also have trend intact. Who will win? Where are the probabilities?...
Had taken partials at 4800 as mentioned in previous post that i am selling from 5090 i have pending at at 5150 and 5200 as well i had another sell at 5004 after manipulation rejection which i have closed already but one trade is at BE 5090... if market goes there i will look for reversal candles again from that area in case BE... Thank you for your posts as i always think for swings and you many times encourage my targets, some day i have different opinions than you but most of the time i see your bias same as me because i always follow PA deeply...
I am going to repeat 1 more time. You can forecasting all scenarios you guys want, but we are in a Monthly range between 5105 and 4562, unless a daily close above or below Monthly will not expand. The manipulation seen below should hit 5105, not that he really need because already taped at the zone itself 5105/45. Is just look for these zone 5105/45 and 4562/622 as zones your chart, not h4, not daily break it and only one wicked ( manipulation ). We have bearish pressure, sure... But we also have trend intact. Who will win? Where are the probabilities?...
Friday was again looking for Monday up trend if it creates some more candles up then definitely to 5200... but this time it can be a trap for buyers by showing up trend...
just thoughts i think 25 ish or 33 ish area will be nice enough to short on monday if we can get it {image}
Hello, can you explain how do you use the XAU/DXY divergence as a confluence ? i know these 2 symbols are correlated but what can a divergence mean and how to make it usefull ? thanks in advance, (Anyone can reply BTW)
{quote} Hello, can you explain how do you use the XAU/DXY divergence as a confluence ? i know these 2 symbols are correlated but what can a divergence mean and how to make it usefull ? thanks in advance, (Anyone can reply BTW)
dxy and gold are negativly correlated so if dxy takes a high then gold should take a low IN LAW but if this doesn't happen and one takes the low but other doest take the high or vise versa we call it a divergence basily its showing that there is alot off buying that can some in simple terms
{quote} Friday was again looking for Monday up trend if it creates some more candles up then definitely to 5200... but this time it can be a trap for buyers by showing up trend...
Agree, that monday have context here too...
5085/90/93 is last 4h resistance, in my charts didn't taped, for begining is my first price to follow what will do, for daily and 4h open need to see where it will open is why i say open and closes matter, because if they are in confluence only make them strong.
Is the same as friday 4971 was so pinpoint, was align with 5969.544 monthly.
For bears confirmation i will apply a diferent concept, to me need to close below Ny macro level 4928.500 and having below a monthly support tested prior 4h 5045 can be the next is stairs and then i accept go down more confortable because if we go down again 5045 is the reversal test in this range.
Taping 5105 only shows that bulls are in and trying to break upside too. If this up is a mitigation bears will be stronger at 5045, if is buyers controlling they will tap 5105. Is my view.
Safe trades.
We have a price increase to the 5115 area! But, but! This rise is suspicious and the price is being driven up by interbanks and large institutions ! Setting a trap for buyers ! Maybe a beauty is still waiting for us at the 4615 rally ! We haven't boarded the two beautiful ladies at the 4615 and 4465 stations yet ! Although the dollar has corrected, we don't see any reason for an uneventful increase ! A turbulent week has begun !
{quote} Agree, that monday have context here too... 5085/90/93 is last 4h resistance, in my charts didn't taped, for begining is my first price to follow what will do, for daily and 4h open need to see where it will open is why i say open and closes matter, because if they are in confluence only make them strong. Is the same as friday 4971 was so pinpoint, was align with 5969.544 monthly. For bears confirmation i will apply a diferent concept, to me need to close below Ny macro level 4928.500 and having below a monthly support tested prior 4h 5045...
Thanks Mr. Deal. Week ahead looks some difficult but Monday Evening and tuesday Morning are very important. For long term i am seeing 40% to 50% reversal overall as it has done in previous history years specially during afghan soviet war it went huge up but then returned back, now a days same due to war it went from 3000 to aprox 56 thats huge but Mafia and trump can do any thing so price action is best strategy it tells you clearly whats happening, no bias no chasing, just following pa, i shall wait for your replies also...
Best of luck for everyone.....
H8
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fib 50% at 5000.24.., what else can be added

dolce vita
What to expect enter 4987.850...
Simply mirror that same expansion, not good to see 1h closing above this price, as long 1h only wick the 4935.810 price should be the minimum.
If close this movement is compromissed beeing at least average as i teach in the past.
Is not me, is not trump, is volatility implied at that zone...
Easly seen as 4935 act as support and resistance in 1h tf, and why? Because 4h fractal is 1h not any other.
Any enter here should have into consideration 1h closing above 4987.850 or not and don't forget gaps, is the only thing that can trick the pattern.
Closing above still we can go down? Sure, the only thing is the pattern is no longer valid and we had rules to not insist in believes. But what price is really trying to show us.
Safe trades.
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What to expect enter 4987.850... Simply mirror that same expansion, not good to see 1h closing above this price, as long 1h only wick the 4935.810 price should be the minimum. If close this movement is compromissed beeing at least average as i teach in the past. Is not me, is not trump, is volatility implied at that zone... Easly seen as 4935 act as support and resistance in 1h tf, and why? Because 4h fractal is 1h not any other. Any enter here should have into consideration 1h closing above 4987.850 or not and don't forget gaps, is the only thing...
Good... it will definitely show whats trying?
Looking forward for your knowledgeable posts. stay blessed... grow well. lots of prays for everyone who are working hard in any field...
{quote} Good... it will definitely show whats trying? Looking forward for your knowledgeable posts. stay blessed... grow well. lots of prays for everyone who are working hard in any field...
Most likely there are stops above 5039.890 that aligns with 5045 level resistance of monthly mention prior post.
People can think is random but to me is how price moves, the logical is the mirror any sensitive expansion as it is an open in this case unmitigated, if is not respected is them signaling that the level is no longer important or will hunt stops first.
The same way we can be playing a weekly mirror to 5602 since this month low.
I said it many times that every pattern need to have cause effect, if not ask your selfs what is doing after, my patterns all have this into consideration.
I never had personality to set and forget even with a good RR pattern, i prefer invalidate them knowing that i know when they still valid no matter first price range. Market is fractal and knowing that if fractal of the pattern is not respecting it what is the most likely outcome? Not necessary does not play out. Is to fail!
Inverted RR, loose small to gain my goals...
Not me, not anyone will have 100% pattern, we just need to do this understanding in those that past data show an edge and don't fight price.

To do that volatility stops or targets is an edge by itself, if you going to be hunted you know where...

This case is a 4h volatility, so not even think in big movements unless it was previous implied.
{quote} Wow nice,78.6% retracement sits there-$5340 ,also the fair value gap Matched
i always loved different view too ...as a brainstorming for me...

i just see a potential bull if the "seedling" flowering in H4.

My plan: ( i have runners from 486x)
Tp 1 5029/30
Tp2 5089/5090

Then break up further or reverse ....

If anything wrong i know how to close.... otherwise i will add...

" sharing is caring"
Stay Gold
i think 20$ gap... let it stable 1H needs bigger candle