Daily Forex Analysis (2.10.2026) | Forex Factory

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Daily Forex Analysis (2.10.2026)

Markets Eye U.S. Data as Dollar Weakens (02.10.2026)

The dollar index remained below 97 on Tuesday as fears of softer foreign demand for US assets, reports of Chinese banks cutting Treasury holdings, expectations of delayed US jobs and inflation data, and a firmer yen on intervention talk weighed on the greenback.

The euro extended gains early this week, breaking above the $1.19 mark against the US dollar as global currency dynamics shifted. The move comes amid renewed dollar weakness, particularly against the yen, following Japan’s political developments. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank maintains a steady stance, expressing confidence in reaching its inflation target. Traders are now turning attention to upcoming U.S. employment and inflation figures, which may shape expectations for future Fed decisions.

Reports that Chinese authorities encouraged banks to trim U.S. Treasury exposure added pressure, while delayed U.S. jobs and inflation data later this week are set to shape expectations around the Federal Reserve.

Wall Street futures were steady after a strong start to the week that lifted the Dow to a fresh record. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq held their gains, driven by technology shares as concerns around AI spending eased.

Equities pushed higher in Asia, tracking the rebound in U.S. tech. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 1.3%, with sharp gains in SoftBank and Taiwan Semiconductor. Japan’s Nikkei 225 climbed 2.8% to a record following the election, while the yuan touched its strongest level since 2023 after steps to limit Treasury exposure.

Technical Outlook on Charts
Euro Climbs Past $1.19
Yen Holds Gains Following Election
Gold Trades Near Weekly Highs
Pound Near $1.36 Amid Political Friction
Silver Slips Below $82
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Silver inventory in the Shanghai Futures Exchange has sharply decreased:

Deliverable silver in Shanghai has reached only 350 tons, the lowest level since 2015. This decline represents an 88% drop from the peak of about 3,000 tons in January 2021.

This shortage was exacerbated by heavy silver exports from China to London in 2025; this move reduced global physical market pressure but further depleted local inventory.

The physical silver market has rarely been this tight and limited.
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Tech Inflows Hit Records
Technology funds attracted $6.0 billion last week, the sector's strongest performance in eight weeks. This surge pushed the four-week moving average to $3.5 billion, marking the third-highest level in history and extending a seven-month streak of positive inflows. During this period, global markets saw $34.6 billion move into stocks, while cash and bonds absorbed $87.2 billion and $23.0 billion, respectively.

In contrast, utilities experienced their sharpest two-week retreat since late 2024 with a $1.2 billion outflow. These figures confirm that investors are aggressively piling back into the tech space.
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The Nasdaq 100 traded near 25,230, rising 0.77% and extending its rebound as strength returned to large-cap technology stocks. The index followed a 0.9% gain in the prior session as concerns around elevated AI spending and competitive pressure eased.

Nvidia, Microsoft, and Broadcom led advances, while Oracle jumped sharply after an analyst upgrade tied to AI demand. Delayed U.S. labor and inflation data remain key for shaping growth and policy expectations.

Resistance at 25,400, with support near 24,900
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zForex.com | International FX & CFD Broker
zForex.com | International FX & CFD Broker