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Quoting Twocans
Wade posted this today. It is excellent and it addresses the question mark above ^^^^The 'Dip' that the E/U is doing since Friday's close and Sunday's open is a perfect example of manipulation to rattle Longs or just hit their stops and grab liquidity. Some are getting shaken out, I don't sense any real fear on a grander scale (at least not yet) while trading down -0.01% https://youtu.be/slUYPazkp9E?si=XbZ2qw-berqSARtT
This is extremely useful - thank you for sharing
Quoting Twocans
Wade posted this today. It is excellent and it addresses the question mark above ^^^^The 'Dip' that the E/U is doing since Friday's close and Sunday's open is a perfect example of manipulation to rattle Longs or just hit their stops and grab liquidity. Some are getting shaken out, I don't sense any real fear on a grander scale (at least not yet) while trading down -0.01%. On the daily chart its obvious the pair is in a contraction period and the only question you need to figure is where is the money? where are traders trapped? Above or below this...
Hmm that chart he shows is looking like Dec until now. Red circle is where we are now id say.
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Consistency is key
Quoting GainingBucks
{quote} Hmm that chart he shows is looking like Dec until now. Red circle is where we are now id say. {image}
Yep, but don't look away for long! lol If or when it breaks 1.184 that is early Feb high of the month Liquidity imbalance (FVG) above.
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Its ALWAYS A TRAP IF YOU ARE ON THE WRONG SIDE.
  • #19,004
  • Quote
  • Edited 10:31am Feb 9, 2026 10:20am | Edited 10:31am
Here is a picture of Longs getting trapped since the reopening on Sunday. Down here is where you buy with them when 95% of retailers are scared or underwater and get out before the last 'Musical Chair' is taken and it flushes again at the next area of excitement and retailers are dying to 'get some' or get in and hold for a swing and avoid a more 'pain' filled pullback. Retailers do everything backwards manipulated like a sheepdog herds sheep.
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Its ALWAYS A TRAP IF YOU ARE ON THE WRONG SIDE.
Eu should have room to go further up
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
Quoting johncen
Eu should have room to go further up {image}
WHY?
Its ALWAYS A TRAP IF YOU ARE ON THE WRONG SIDE.
Quoting Twocans
{quote} WHY?
I don't disagree. BTW
Its ALWAYS A TRAP IF YOU ARE ON THE WRONG SIDE.
Quoting Twocans
{quote} WHY?
As long as we are above that trendline bull is in favour. There are liquidity above 1845-50 level. Will see if bear will show up after.

could see bull taking 187x or even 189x
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
Quoting Twocans
Here is a picture of Longs getting trapped since the reopening on Sunday. Down here is where you buy with them when 95% of retailers are scared or underwater and get out before the last 'Musical Chair' is taken and it flushes again at the next area of excitement and retailers are dying to 'get some' or get in and hold for a swing and avoid a more 'pain' filled pullback. Retailers do everything backwards manipulated like a sheepdog herds sheep. {image}
You're not wrong I'm trying to run with the wave, flow with the current. When big $ moves I'm trying to be in it, that's the main goal ateotd. Doesn't have to be perfect as long as we get a cut, slice, share
It is what it is
The EUR/USD is correcting towards the 1.1838/40 resistance level after the 1.1800/08 support held overnight. A break above this resistance should target the 1.1870/75 zone. However, if 1.1800 gives way to sellers, then 1.1785 and 1.1765 should be the next levels in sight.

Daily volatility (range) 47 pips


Have great week!

1H
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
Quoting johncen
{quote} As long as we are above that trendline bull is in favour. There are liquidity above 1845-50 level. Will see if bear will show up after. could see bull taking 187x or even 189x
A "trendlines" only works as long as it agrees with the direction Big$ is going. It has no power however. Same for MA's, MACD's etc.... nothing more than following indicators that are built off of the actual price movement. Not saying they don't have validity for a directional bias but they do NOT make anything happen that Big Money plans and uses to trap retailers. Wade Gudd said it the best I have ever heard in a video he posted today that I shared in a post back a few. I quote, "Banks don't care about Price, they target liquidity." Stop chasing or trying to 'figuring out on your bias where price is going' and just do the simple, easy thing and mirror Big$.
Its ALWAYS A TRAP IF YOU ARE ON THE WRONG SIDE.
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD is correcting towards the 1.1838/40 resistance level after the 1.1800/08 support held overnight. A break above this resistance should target the 1.1870/75 zone. However, if 1.1800 gives way to sellers, then 1.1785 and 1.1765 should be the next levels in sight. Daily volatility (range) 47 pips Have great week! 1H {image}
Bounce! Retail is selling at these highs but that makes me uncomfortable unless institutions join them. As long the pair keeps support the upside is the right direction.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
Quoting Twocans
{quote} A "trendlines" only works as long as it agrees with the direction Big$ is going. It has no power however. Same for MA's, MACD's etc.... nothing more than following indicators that are built off of the actual price movement. Not saying they don't have validity for a directional bias but they do NOT make anything happen that Big Money plans and uses to trap retailers. Wade Gudd said it the best I have ever heard in a video he posted today that I shared in a post back a few. I quote, "Banks don't care about Price, they target liquidity." Stop...
that is so true, follow the smart money and the trend
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Bounce! Retail is selling at these highs but that makes me uncomfortable unless institutions join them. As long the pair keeps support the upside is the right direction.
it was a quick pop! I guess bull has some more fuel in the tank
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,015
  • Quote
  • Edited 4:41pm Feb 9, 2026 4:02pm | Edited 4:41pm
Quoting josip
EURUSD and DXY H1 update rising wedges.. and the winner is... Yes, both wedges are technically bearish, but what matters is which one confirms first, and DXY has priority over EURUSD. Where the difference is: which wedge actually matters DXY rising wedge (H1) it is the market driver it is above the H4 CHOCH UP (97.43) it forms after an impulse up it has a clear structure of HL + weakening HH If the DXY wedge breaks DOWN: USD weakens EURUSD gains room to move higher EURUSD rising wedge (H1) it is reactive...
DXY H1
trendlines, SMC

Already on Friday we broke and closed decisively below 97.43 on H4,
and today at the open we remained below this level, so EURUSD has room to move higher.

 

  1. we are BELOW 97.43
  2. H4 CHOCH UP has FAILED
  3. acceptance of lower prices has occurred
  4. the bullish USD scenario is invalidated

USD has lost its structural support
Technical verdict on DXY

  1. CHOCH UP was not confirmed
  2. price went through:

    1. break up → return → breakdown below the level


    This is a textbook failed CHOCH.

Bias on DXY = bearish / weak USD

97.25–97.30 = BOS DOWN

a break of the last swing LOW in the current direction of price movement
That means:

  1. bearish momentum has been activated
  2. the market is capable of continuing lower

BUT
BOS does not change the market regime — it only confirms the direction of momentum.

When is BOS DOWN VALID
To take it seriously:
Ideal scenario

  1. H4 close BELOW 97.25
  2. ideally:

    1. without an immediate reclaim, or
    2. a pullback that fails below 97.43


    this is a clean BOS DOWN

What this means for trading
Only then:

  1. a short on DXY has a structural reason
  2. USD is officially weak
  3. EURUSD has open upside space (not just intraday)

One sentence to remember

  1. 97.43 decides whether USD is bullish
  2. 97.25 decides whether USD is bearish

Between them:

  1. chop
  2. fake signals
  3. liquidity grabs

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Trendlines, SMC
  • #19,016
  • Quote
  • Edited 6:11pm Feb 9, 2026 4:20pm | Edited 6:11pm
At some point, be it during the London or NY session the Big Mice will pull the plug and trap retailers in order to create liquidity they can scoop up while price is at a discount. Once the range moves in to premium territory they 'push' price higher to offload all the inventory they took away at lower prices. If you are in with a profit kudos to you but keep your head on a swivel because rockets ALWAYS NOT SOMETIMES turn to rocks when they run out of inventory and after they fill up their pockets with Shorts to go back the other way. It could go to 1.121 or higher, nobody knows. It might not make it to 1.19 before they stuff it? Follow the money and never get lazy thinking your on easy street. That's the "Street of Dreams". Right now, Higher highs and higher lows is the only thing to keep in focus. Otherwise they will end up taking profits from you turning you into liqudity.
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Its ALWAYS A TRAP IF YOU ARE ON THE WRONG SIDE.
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all my trades on chart are on my Trade Explorer
Live Return Today: na
EURUSD H1
trendlines, SMC

BOS UP zone: 1.18218 – 1.18260

How to use this zone (practically)
Holding above 1.18218–260

  1. BOS UP is valid
  2. pullbacks are buyable

H1 close below 1.18218

  1. BOS UP fails
  2. we return to a range / bearish structure

  3. We are in a bullish correction / transition phase.

  1. 1.1780 → structural floor (long bias invalidation)
  2. 1.18218 – 1.18260 → BOS UP zone (momentum)
  3. 1.1845+ → CHOCH UP (trend shift)

BOS UP is invalidated by:

  1. H1 close below the BOS UP zone (1.18218–1.18260)
    momentum invalidation

The bullish scenario as a whole is invalidated only by:

  1. H1 close below 1.1780
    structure invalidation

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Trendlines, SMC
Eu in my target zone
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,020
  • Quote
  • Edited 6:36pm Feb 9, 2026 5:37pm | Edited 6:36pm
Not saying it will but 1.18750 Looks like this party may be over for a while? Trapped above 1.18600? Tick chart shows them 'slow bleeding' which continues to increase a selling environment. Nobody gets a free ride without paying the fare! lol
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Its ALWAYS A TRAP IF YOU ARE ON THE WRONG SIDE.
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