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Quoting josip
EURUSD Is the 揹ecision zone?already R? YES. The blue decision zone around 1.1845 ?1.1829 is currently resistance. Reason: the H1 bullish structure was invalidated (below 1.18292) returns into the zone are retests from below the market is already reacting with rejection there currently acting as R ECB ?hawkish scenario If the ECB is clearly hawkish: The first stop must be broken: R: 1.1845 (decision zone) Without an H1 close above 1.1845, every spike is just...
Thanks! Dad. I can always count on you. lol
Its ALWAYS A TRAP IF YOU ARE ON THE WRONG SIDE.
  • #18,962
  • Quote
  • Edited 12:50pm Feb 5, 2026 12:33pm | Edited 12:50pm
The EUR/USD is currently trading with a bearish bias below the 1.1800 and 1.1838 resistance levels. If this downward pressure persists, the pair could see an initial move toward 1.1867/61. Should bearish momentum intensify later in the session, a break below key support could see the pair targeting 1.1728. Conversely, if the pair climbs above the primary resistance, it may challenge 1.1875 with a target of 1.1895.


Daily volatility (range) 54 pips

Significant news - ECB Deposit Rate, US Initial Jobless Claims & US JOLTS Job Openings


Have great day!

4H
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No surprising moves today, the pair continues to trade inside the 1.1838 and 1.1776 range. Maybe it should continue the same price action until a break below as the short term trend dictates but some red us news disagree so the pair might squeeze shorts and test 1.1850. Only time will tell! NFP is next week so I watch at news feeds for any other news that will be "moving". Take care
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likewise, xau might have a few opportunities
It is what it is
  • #18,965
  • Quote
  • Edited 2:25am Feb 6, 2026 1:42am | Edited 2:25am
Stealth Mode Reversal ?
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Its ALWAYS A TRAP IF YOU ARE ON THE WRONG SIDE.
DXY H1
trendline, SMC

On H4 DXY, the current situation is:

  1. 97.43 = structural pivot (H4 BOS / CHOCH UP)
  2. price ~97.48 = just above the pivot
  3. today’s move is so far only a pullback / consolidation

If DXY does not create a new high (continuation), the probability increases that:

  1. buyers are losing momentum
  2. the market returns to the pivot zone
  3. a close below 97.43 may occur


That is also the reason why EURUSD is not aggressively dropping below 1.1760 yet...
An H1 close below 97.43 on DXY would open room for EURUSD to rise.

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Trendlines, SMC
eu going sideways?nothing much to add from my end really.

pa remain above 1743 and untouched. If we drop i see a potential of going down to 1670.

usdx target around 98 or 98.50

if we bounce from here first target 1850, not sure if we will resume the uptrend, my bet is bear is not done and 2084 could be the top for a while.i could be wrong
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
The 'contraction between the last two order blocks reminds me of the 'Hatfields and McCoys' fighting for turf. One way or the other next is expansion of the range and a trend phase up or down. Someone here said to see where price is going look left, not right. I 100% think that is correct. Follow the money. All the long wicks at the bottom could be stop hunting?
Its ALWAYS A TRAP IF YOU ARE ON THE WRONG SIDE.
Back to the lower bound of the range?looks like a descending triangle set up pointing a bit lower
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #18,970
  • Quote
  • Edited 5:55am Feb 6, 2026 5:26am | Edited 5:55am
EURUSD H1
trendlines, SMC, and Measured move in a bear channel (triple zone box)

If DXY holds above 97.43:

  1. EURUSD will struggle to rise
  2. rallies will more likely be pullbacks
  3. pressure on 1.1760 remains


Current position for EURUSD
Price:

  1. below 1.17828 (H1 BOS DOWN)
  2. above 1.1760 (H4 support)

This is exactly a continuation pocket.

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Trendlines, SMC
The EUR/USD dropped to 1.1765 before recovering some ground, however, it remains trading below the 1.1821 and 1.1838 resistance levels. This downward trend is expected to continue unless profit-taking pushes the price higher, with 1.1875 as the next potential target. On the downside, support at 1.1761 is expected to hold, but a break below this level - particularly following 'red folder' news, could see the pair target 1.1728 and 1.1700.


Daily volatility (range) 55 pips

Significant news - Iran - US Meeting & University Michigan Sentiment


Have great day!
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Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD dropped to 1.1765 before recovering some ground, however, it remains trading below the 1.1821 and 1.1838 resistance levels. This downward trend is expected to continue unless profit-taking pushes the price higher, with 1.1875 as the next potential target. On the downside, support at 1.1761 is expected to hold, but a break below this level - particularly following 'red folder' news, could see the pair target 1.1728 and 1.1700. Daily volatility (range) 55 pips Significant news - Iran - US Meeting & University Michigan Sentiment Have great...
looks like the low is gonna hold for the week with potential bounce towards 1845 1890 levels
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #18,973
  • Quote
  • Edited 1:15pm Feb 6, 2026 12:53pm | Edited 1:15pm
Clearing 1.17900 is an 'area of interest' I have been watching. Price has just cleared a 4 hour long stretch breaker block from yesterday plus another that is in the same price (range) structure and still moving up. "Looking LEFT" on a higher time frame shows several area of interest where resistance is now defended by buyers with a higher time frame horizon, the deep pockets. Support and resistance is everywhere just like buyers and sellers are everywhere and always it is the same. One buyer for one seller and it boils down to which camp is more aggressive. It's always a War. It still blows my mind how we can share thoughts whether or not we agree it makes you think. When I started none of this existed, just a newspaper (IBD or Wall Street Journal) and a phone call to you broker to place a trade. No internet, a few old timer books you could read and learning it all by yourself unless you moved to NYC and had a job like Oliver Velez who is almost as old as me. lol He's on YT btw.
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Its ALWAYS A TRAP IF YOU ARE ON THE WRONG SIDE.
GOOD LUCK!
Let's see if this operation gets me out of this bad streak.
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Quoting johncen
{quote} looks like the low is gonna hold for the week with potential bounce towards 1845 1890 levels
I feel the same but the risk is to stuck here around 1.1800 and then an Iran - US deal is the tail risk and could hit both sides depending the result. 1.1850 and 1.1750 can break in either side then.

I'll stop trading for the day and wait for the next week. Maybe scalp some first or before the close but definitely its not wise to keep open heavy positions at the weekend.
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Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} I feel the same but the risk is to stuck here around 1.1800 and then an Iran - US deal is the tail risk and could hit both sides depending the result. 1.1850 and 1.1750 can break in either side then. I'll stop trading for the day and wait for the next week. Maybe scalp some first or before the close but definitely its not wise to keep open heavy positions at the weekend.
yea its public holiday here in nz and have been out the whole day. Not gonna do much today unless i see a really good trading opportunity

bull have to first closed above 1800 to break the downward channel.

from daily weekly perspective, i smell potential reversal, it needs confirmation - daily, weekly, and finally monthly closing back below 1750.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
watching closely
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Quoting johncen
{quote} yea its public holiday here in nz and have been out the whole day. Not gonna do much today unless i see a really good trading opportunity bull have to first closed above 1800 to break the downward channel. from daily weekly perspective, i smell potential reversal, it needs confirmation - daily, weekly, and finally monthly closing back below 1750.
Its early yet to say but consolidation is the game in town for now. If I see a stronger bearish action below 1.1800 then I might think to target below 1.1700 but not yet.
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Manufactured liquidity grab poised to set the tone for the London session lower obviously. Price is about half way through the order blocks and still receding or stalling? Big money is so dang powerful they push retailers around with ease.
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Its ALWAYS A TRAP IF YOU ARE ON THE WRONG SIDE.
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Its early yet to say but consolidation is the game in town for now. If I see a stronger bearish action below 1.1800 then I might think to target below 1.1700 but not yet.
yea i still hope to see a lot lower once we start closing below 1743. But it takes time to develop
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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